Caesars Earnings Analysis - NYSE:CZR Stock Growth

Caesars Earnings Analysis - NYSE:CZR Stock Growth

From its rich history to its recent strategic moves in the gaming and entertainment sector, this report explores the intricacies of Caesars Entertainment Corporation NYSE:CZR Stock, highlighting its financial landscape, market dynamics, and potential investment strategies | That's TradingNEWS

TradingNEWS Archive 8/20/2023 12:00:00 AM
Stocks CZR

Introduction

Founded in 1937, Caesars Entertainment Corporation (NYSE: CZR) has evolved into a behemoth in the casino and entertainment industry. With a portfolio that includes notable brands like Harrah's, Caesars, Planet Hollywood, and Horseshoe, the company has left a substantial footprint in the global gaming arena. In this in-depth analysis, we will dive into various aspects of the company, including its historical context, financial health, valuation, potential risks, and recent strategic moves. We will also look into the broader Las Vegas market trends, which significantly influence Caesars' performance.

History and Overview of NYSE:CZR

Caesars manages a vast network of casinos and resorts, spanning 50 properties across 16 American states, Canada, and Dubai. Its prominence in irreplaceable locations like the Las Vegas strip, where it operates iconic sites like Caesars Palace, Planet Hollywood, and Harrah's, has ensured strong footfall and brand recognition.

Recent Developments and Market Dynamics

Las Vegas as a Global Leisure Destination

Las Vegas is rapidly transforming into a major hub for gaming, resorts, entertainment, and sports. Recent signings of marquee sports franchises and hosting of significant events have played a vital role in this transformation. Caesars' strategic positioning enables it to benefit from this trend.

Las Vegas' Sports Franchises and Events

Caesars' strong foothold in Las Vegas aligns it with the city's rising profile as a sports and entertainment center. This is evidenced by the transition of the Golden Knights (hockey) and Oakland Raiders (football) to Las Vegas. Plans are also in motion to expand professional sports within the city, from the anticipated move of the Oakland Athletics baseball team to hosting the Formula One Grand Prix in November and the Super Bowl in 2024. Such expansions are expected to attract numerous spectators and bolster the local economy.

Online Gaming and Sports Betting

Following the 2018 overruling of the Sports Protection Act, Las Vegas has solidified its position as a sports event host. Casinos, including Caesars, are redesigning their 'sports books' to create immersive gambling experiences. The acquisition of William Hill in 2021 has also positioned Caesars to grow its share of online sports betting in the US, further enhancing its prospects in this segment.

Attractive Valuation with Potential to De-Gear

The conservative valuation of the company's various components, including Las Vegas properties, regional casinos, and the high-growth digital / sports betting division, makes the stock an attractive investment. Despite concerns about debt levels and servicing costs, a sum-of-the-parts analysis reveals a potential upside. The company's initiatives to de-gear, combined with its strategic positioning, create a positive outlook.

Key Risks

Debt and Financial Health

The company's total debt to EBITDA, elevated at 6.9x as of March 31, 2023, reflects its financial strain, though it has reduced from 8.5x at the end of 2022. This situation leaves a limited margin to withstand a reduction in operating income and warrants close monitoring.

Las Vegas Tourism Dynamics

Data from the Las Vegas Convention Authority reveals a cooling trend in Las Vegas tourism, with a decline in growth in visitor volume and revenue per room. After a rapid recovery to pre-Covid levels, this change signals potential challenges ahead for CZR.

Potential Impact on NYSE:CZR Stock

With upcoming earnings on August 1, 2023, there is room for potential disappointment as analysts and investors continue to expect high results. A close examination of revenues, interest expenses, and other factors leads to a cautious outlook. The stock's historical tendency to react negatively to misses, combined with rising costs, indicates significant downside risk.

Options and Strategy

Considering the potential earnings miss and its impact, an alternative investment strategy such as a put spread (buying a close put while selling a more OTM put of the same expiration) may be an appropriate approach. This would allow for capturing some downside while limiting exposure to substantial drops.

The Impact of a Potential Earnings Miss on NYSE:CZR

In the highly competitive and ever-evolving gaming and entertainment industry, the earnings reports of major players can significantly sway investor sentiment and market positioning. For Caesars Entertainment Inc., trading under the stock symbol NYSE:CZR, there are concerns regarding a potential earnings miss in the upcoming financial announcement. Here's an in-depth analysis of the factors that might contribute to this situation, and a strategic approach to navigating the associated investment landscape.

Challenging Market Dynamics and NYSE:CZR

The global economy has witnessed fluctuating trends, which have had a palpable impact on various sectors, including the gaming industry. With a blend of unpredictable regulatory environments, shifting consumer preferences, and the lingering impacts of global events, companies like Caesars Entertainment face substantial hurdles in maintaining their growth trajectory.

These factors, coupled with the company's specific internal dynamics and strategic decisions, may lead to an earnings miss. While a comprehensive assessment of the firm's balance sheet and historical performance is vital, one must also consider the broader market context when evaluating the potential risks and rewards tied to NYSE:CZR.

An Alternative Investment Approach: Put Spread Strategy

Investors seeking to protect against a possible decline in the value of NYSE:CZR due to an earnings miss may consider alternative investment strategies. Among these, the put spread strategy, involving buying a close put while selling a more out-of-the-money put of the same expiration, emerges as a tactical approach.

How the Put Spread Works with NYSE:CZR

The put spread strategy allows investors to capture some downside while simultaneously limiting exposure to substantial drops. Essentially, an investor would buy a put option at a particular strike price and sell another put option at a lower strike price for the same expiration date.

This can be an attractive strategy for those with a moderately bearish outlook on NYSE:CZR. By employing this tactic, an investor can potentially benefit from a decline in the stock's price while minimizing the potential loss if the stock does not move as anticipated.

Caesars Entertainment, Inc. (NASDAQ: CZR): A Comprehensive Financial Analysis

Introduction

Caesars Entertainment, Inc. (CZR) operates as a renowned force in the hospitality and gaming industry. In this detailed analysis, we will explore the company's financial landscape, shedding light on its growth prospects, profitability metrics, valuations, institutional investments, and the latest performance highlights.

NYSE:CZR Stock Performance and Key Metrics

Stock Trading Snapshot

As of the recent data, CZR shares are trading at $52.10, experiencing a minor decrease of 1.14%. The stock closed at $52.68 with an uptick of 1.11%. Over the last 52 weeks, CZR shares have oscillated between a low of $31.31 and a high of $60.27. The trading volume stands at 2,066,938 with an average volume of 2,687,096. You can access real-time chart information on CZR at TradingNews.

Valuation and Financial Ratios

The market capitalization of CZR is recorded at $11.212 billion, and its Enterprise Value is marked at $22.64 billion. Some key valuation measures include:

  • Trailing P/E Ratio: 16.33
  • Forward P/E Ratio: 9.07
  • Price/Sales (TTM): 0.98
  • Price/Book (MRQ): 2.47
  • Enterprise Value/Revenue: 1.98
  • Enterprise Value/EBITDA: 6.83

Earnings and Estimates

Earnings estimates for the upcoming quarters and years are promising, with 11 analysts predicting an average estimate of 0.3 for the current quarter (Sep 2023), progressing to 0.38 in the next quarter (Dec 2023). Annual estimates also display growth, with revenue predictions for the current and next year being $11.62 billion and $11.98 billion, respectively.

The earnings history presents a series of surprises, with positive variations like 71.40% in Q3 2022 and an extraordinary 1,190.90% in Q2 2023.

Dividends, Splits, and Share Statistics

CZR does not currently offer dividends. The shares outstanding are 215.2 million, with a float of 205.34 million. Short interest is relatively low at 3.64% of the float as of July 30, 2023.

Top Holders and Institutional Investments

Top Institutional Holders

Major institutional players back CZR, reflecting strong confidence in the company's prospects:

  • Vanguard Group Inc: 10.81% of shares
  • Capital Research Global Investors: 9.71%
  • Blackrock Inc.: 8.05%
  • FMR, LLC: 7.22%
  • Janus Henderson Group PLC: 5.41%

Top Mutual Fund Holders

Mutual funds also hold a substantial stake in CZR:

  • Growth Fund Of America Inc: 8.22%
  • Amcap Fund: 3.77%
  • Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund: 2.88%
  • Vanguard 500 Index Fund: 2.31%
  • Fidelity Blue Chip Growth Fund: 1.85%

Operational Highlights and Management Effectiveness

Financial Highlights

The fiscal year for CZR ends on Dec 30, with the most recent quarter reported on Jun 29, 2023. Some essential financial figures are:

  • Profit Margin: 6.03%
  • Operating Margin (TTM): 21.92%
  • Return on Assets (TTM): 4.46%
  • Return on Equity (TTM): 16.30%
  • Total Debt (MRQ): $26.09 billion
  • Operating Cash Flow (TTM): $1.83 billion

Second Quarter 2023 Highlights

Caesars Entertainment reported a robust second quarter in 2023, with significant numbers:

  • GAAP net revenues: $2.9 billion (compared to $2.8 billion in the prior-year period)
  • GAAP net income: $920 million (compared to a loss of $123 million in the prior-year period)
  • Same-store Adjusted EBITDA: $1.0 billion
  • Caesars Digital same-store Adjusted EBITDA: $11 million (compared to a loss of $69 million in the prior-year period)

Tom Reeg, the CEO, commented on the continued strength in business, highlighting strong demand in Las Vegas and regional markets. The company's rebranding to Caesars Sportsbook showed positive results for the first time since the change.

Trading Information and Technical Analysis

Volatility and Beta Analysis of NYSE:CZR

Volatility is an essential aspect of investing that investors must consider to grasp the potential risks and rewards of an investment in a particular security. In the case of NYSE:CZR, the stock exhibits a higher level of volatility as demonstrated by its five-year monthly beta of 2.91.

The beta coefficient is a measure of a stock's volatility in relation to the overall market. A beta greater than 1 indicates that the stock is more volatile than the market, while a beta less than 1 signifies that it is less volatile. In this context, a beta of 2.91 implies that the stock's price movements are almost three times as volatile as the market.

For traders and investors alike, this level of volatility could be both an opportunity and a risk. High volatility often brings greater price swings, which can mean more significant profit potential for short-term traders. However, for long-term investors, this could present more risk, as the stock's price may be subject to more substantial fluctuations.

The real-time chart for NYSE:CZR can be further explored here.

Stock Price History and Moving Averages of NYSE:CZR

Understanding a stock's price history and moving averages provides valuable insights into its past performance and potential future trends. These can be particularly insightful for investors seeking to determine whether the stock aligns with their investment strategies and risk tolerance.

Stock Price History of NYSE:CZR: The historical price pattern of a stock can reveal significant information about its performance trends. Looking at NYSE:CZR over various periods can provide context to the current price, allowing investors to identify consistent patterns or anomalies. An in-depth historical price analysis will enable a more accurate prediction of future performance, taking into consideration market conditions, company performance, and broader economic factors.

Moving Averages of NYSE:CZR: The use of moving averages, such as simple and exponential moving averages, offers a smoothing of price data over a specified period, helping investors to identify the underlying trend. For NYSE:CZR, analyzing the moving averages across different time frames can reveal key support and resistance levels, trend reversals, and potential buy or sell signals.

The application of moving averages in tandem with other technical indicators such as Relative Strength Index (RSI) or Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) can strengthen the analysis and contribute to a more robust trading strategy.

Analyzing Moving Averages and Other Indicators for NYSE:CZR

In-Depth Look into Moving Averages for NYSE:CZR

Moving averages are a crucial part of technical analysis that can help uncover underlying trends in stock price movement. For NYSE:CZR, let's explore these in detail.

  1. Simple Moving Averages (SMA): This tool averages the stock's prices over a specified period. For NYSE:CZR, a shorter-term SMA might reveal a more reactive trend to the market, while a longer-term SMA could provide insights into more stable trends. By comparing these, investors can detect potential crossover points, indicating a change in trend direction.

  2. Exponential Moving Averages (EMA): Unlike SMA, EMA gives more weight to recent prices, making it more responsive to new information. Analyzing the EMA for NYSE:CZR can help identify early signs of trend reversals, particularly when used in conjunction with other indicators.

Integration with Other Technical Indicators for NYSE:CZR

Moving averages are often used in harmony with other technical indicators to enhance the reliability of the analysis. Let's look at how this works for NYSE:CZR:

  1. Relative Strength Index (RSI): RSI measures the speed and change of price movements, and ranges from 0 to 100. Generally, an RSI above 70 is considered overbought, while below 30 is considered oversold. By combining RSI with moving averages for NYSE:CZR, investors can uncover potential entry and exit points, balancing momentum with underlying trend analysis.

  2. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD): MACD is a trend-following momentum indicator that shows the relationship between two moving averages of a security's price. It consists of the MACD line, Signal line, and Histogram. Analyzing the MACD for NYSE:CZR could reveal bullish or bearish crossovers, allowing traders to align their strategies with the market sentiment.

  3. Support and Resistance Levels: Analyzing support and resistance levels in conjunction with moving averages for NYSE:CZR can provide a more concrete understanding of where the price is likely to face hindrances. These levels can act as barriers that prevent the price of an asset from getting pushed in a certain direction. Recognizing these levels for NYSE:CZR can help traders make more informed decisions on entry and exit points.

changes, while a longer-term SMA could highlight more gradual shifts in sentiment and price direction. For example:

  • 20-day SMA: A glance at this short-term average may reveal the stock's immediate trend and momentum.
  • 50-day SMA: Often considered a measure of the intermediate trend, the 50-day average might indicate a broader directional bias.
  • 200-day SMA: As a sign of the long-term trend, the 200-day average for NYSE:CZR could help identify major support or resistance levels, often acting as a critical threshold for bullish or bearish market sentiment.

Exponential Moving Averages (EMA): Unlike the SMA, the EMA gives more weight to recent data. For NYSE:CZR, this may provide a more responsive insight into the stock's current momentum. Employing various periods like the 12-day and 26-day EMA could provide valuable crossover signals, a key technique used to recognize potential entry or exit points.

Complementary Technical Indicators for NYSE:CZR: Other technical indicators can enhance the analysis of NYSE:CZR's price movements. Some of these include:

  • Relative Strength Index (RSI): For NYSE:CZR, an RSI above 70 may indicate overbought conditions, while below 30 could signal oversold territory, often providing valuable timing signals for investors.
  • Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD): By tracking the relationship between two EMAs (e.g., 12-day and 26-day), the MACD can help in spotting changes in the strength, direction, momentum, and duration of NYSE:CZR's trend.

The real-time chart for NYSE:CZR, offering more insights, can be accessed here.

Conclusion: Investment Outlook for NYSE:CZR

Global Reach and Dominance in the Industry Caesars Entertainment Corporation's remarkable portfolio and strategic positioning within the casino and entertainment industry are undeniably impressive. Its influence across the Las Vegas strip and the transition into online gaming and sports betting, boosted by the acquisition of William Hill, underscores the company's growth potential.

Financial Health and Valuation While CZR’s valuation appears attractive, with significant potential upside from a sum-of-the-parts analysis, the high total debt to EBITDA ratio of 6.9x as of March 31, 2023, raises concerns about its financial stability. This warrants close observation and could impact the stock's performance.

Las Vegas Tourism Dynamics and Market Risks The cooling trend in Las Vegas tourism and the potential for an earnings miss on August 1, 2023, add complexity to the investment landscape. The stock's historical tendency to react negatively to misses, coupled with uncertainties in market dynamics, represents significant downside risk.

Investment Strategy and Options Considering these factors, a cautiously bearish short-term outlook may be prudent for NYSE:CZR. Investors might consider alternative investment strategies such as the put spread to capture some downside while limiting exposure.

Technical Analysis and Volatility Considerations The high volatility (beta of 2.91) and an in-depth analysis of moving averages and other technical indicators provide both opportunities and risks. Short-term traders may find value in this volatility, while long-term investors should consider the inherent risks.

Institutional Confidence and Operational Strength With substantial backing from major institutional players and impressive operational highlights such as GAAP net revenues of $2.9 billion in the second quarter of 2023, the long-term outlook for NYSE:CZR may be more optimistic.

Final Thoughts Investing in NYSE:CZR presents a multifaceted opportunity, with significant growth prospects in the evolving gaming and entertainment industry. The conservative valuation and strong institutional support provide confidence in the stock's long-term potential.